07 Mar 2008

Voter Intentions Tighten For the NS Provincial Parties

HALIFAX: Support for the opposition party has remained stable in the past quarter, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc.  Presently, support for the provincial NDP stands at 37 percent (compared with 39% three months ago), while the ruling Progressive Conservatives have the backing of 32 percent of decided voters (unchanged). Support for the Liberals has increased slightly (28%, compared with 25%), while 3 percent (unchanged) prefer the Green Party.  The number of Nova Scotia residents who are currently undecided, do not plan to vote, or refuse to state a preference currently stands at 42 percent (compared with 46%).

Backing for the NDP remains highest in the Halifax Regional Municipality (HRM) (47%), while the Liberals receive greater support in Cape Breton (34%).  The Conservatives, meanwhile, receive their greater level of support in mainland Nova Scotia outside of the HRM (40%).

PC leader Rodney MacDonald’s personal popularity has increased to its highest level in the past year. Presently, MacDonald has the support of nearly three in ten Nova Scotians (27%, compared with 23% in November 2007).  NDP leader Darrell Dexter has the backing of three in ten (30%, compared with 32%) residents, while support for the Liberal Party leader, Stephen McNeil, increased significantly and now stands at 20 percent (up from 14%), and support for the next leader of the Green Party is stable at 3 percent. Over one in ten Nova Scotians (14%, compared with 22%) are undecided in terms of leader preference, while the remainder prefer none of these leaders or name another person (6%, compared with 7%).

Satisfaction with the overall performance of the PC government improved to its highest level in more than a year.  Presently, over one-half (55%, up from 50% in November 2007) of residents express satisfaction with the government, while one-third (34%, down from 41%) are dissatisfied.  One in ten (12%, compared with 9%) do not offer a definite opinion at this time.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent, quarterly survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 1203 adult Nova Scotians, conducted from February 11 to March 4, 2008, with results accurate to within +2.8 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

For more information, please contact: Don Mills, President and CEO at (902) 722-3100.

View tables here.

Amanda Bates