05 Sep 2007

Support For Provincial Liberals Surges in NB

SAINT JOHN: Support for the ruling Liberals has improved in the past three months, and the Liberals continue to lead the opposition Conservatives by a wide margin, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Presently, six in ten (60%, up from 53% in May 2007) of decided voters back the Liberals, with three in ten (30%, down from 33%) supporting the PCs.  Support for the NDP declined to seven percent (compared with 10%), while two percent (down from 4%) of decided voters prefer the Green Party.  The number of New Brunswick residents who are currently undecided, do not plan to vote, or refuse to state a preference currently stands at 47 percent.

Liberal leader Shawn Graham’s popularity has also increased.  Presently, slightly more than four in ten (41%, up from 36% in May 2007) residents prefer Graham for Premier.  Backing for the next leader of the Progressive Conservatives has decreased and currently stands at 17 percent (down from 20% three months ago), while backing for the next leader of the NDP has declined to six percent (compared with 8%).  Five percent (compared with 4%) of New Brunswickers like none of these leaders or prefer others.  Not surprisingly, given the uncertainty surrounding the leadership of both the PCs and NDP, the number of residents who do not offer a definite opinion remains high at 31 percent (compared with 30%).

Satisfaction with the performance of the new Liberal government has returned to levels from February 2007 (66%, up from 54% in May 2007). Conversely, dissatisfaction has decreased compared with three months ago and currently stands at 24% (down from 33%).  The remaining 11 percent (compared with 13%) do not offer a definite opinion at this time.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 803 adult New Brunswickers, conducted from August 9 to August 30, 2007, with results accurate to within +3.5 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

For more information, please contact: Don Mills, President and CEO at (902) 722-3100.

View tables here.

Amanda Bates