04 Jun 2009

Support for Provincial Liberals in New Brunswick Declines

SAINT JOHN: Support for the ruling Liberals decreased this quarter, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Presently, four in ten (41%, down from 50% in February 2009) of decided voters back the Liberals, with a similar number backing the PCs (40%, up from 34%).  Support for the NDP is stable (16%, compared with 13%), while three percent (unchanged) of decided voters prefer the Green Party.  The number of New Brunswick residents who are undecided, do not plan to vote, or refuse to state a preference currently stands at 42 percent (up from 35% in February 2009).

Satisfaction with the performance of the Liberal government also declined this quarter, and now stands at 50 percent (down from 64% in February 2009). Alternatively, dissatisfaction increased (41%, up from 29% three months ago).  The remaining nine percent (compared with 7%) do not offer a definite opinion at this time.

Liberal leader Shawn Graham’s personal popularity declined this quarter. Presently, four in ten (39%, down from 45% in February 2009) residents prefer Graham for Premier. Backing for David Alward of the Progressive Conservatives increased, and stands at 28 percent (up from 21%), while backing for Roger Duguay of the NDP is stable at 6 percent (compared with 8%).  The next leader of the Green Party is preferred by four percent (unchanged). Eight percent (compared with 5%) of New Brunswickers like none of these leaders or prefer others.  The number of residents who do not offer a definite opinion is stable and currently stands at 16 percent (compared with 17%).

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 803 adult New Brunswickers, conducted from May 11 to May 30, 2009, with results accurate to within +3.5 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

For more information, please contact: Don Mills, President and CEO at (902) 722-3100.

View tables here.

Amanda Bates