12 Dec 2006

Support For NS Provincial Conservatives Continues To Decline

HALIFAX: The opposition NDP has moved into first place in voter support, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Presently, the NDP has the backing of close to four in ten decided voters (37%, unchanged from August 2006), while support for the Progressive Conservatives stands at 32 percent (compared with 35% in August).  One-quarter (26%, compared with 25% three months ago) of decided residents back the Liberals.

Backing for the NDP remains highest in the Halifax Regional Municipality (HRM) (43%), with the Liberals performing best in Cape Breton (34%).  The Conservatives, meanwhile, receive the highest level of support outside of the HRM (mainland Nova Scotia outside of HRM 35%, Cape Breton 37%).

PC leader Rodney MacDonald’s personal popularity continues its downward trend.  Presently, MacDonald has the support of one-quarter of Nova Scotians (24%, compared with 27% in August).  NDP leader Darrell Dexter has the backing of three in ten (31%, compared with 34%) residents, while support for the next leader of the Liberal Party is stable at 16 percent (compared with 15% three months ago).  One-quarter of Nova Scotians (23%, up from 19% three months ago) are undecided in terms of leader preference, while the remainder prefer none of these leaders or name another person (6%, compared with 4%).

Satisfaction with the overall performance of the PC government has declined since August.  Presently, close to six in ten (56%, down from 61%) residents express satisfaction with the government, while one-third (33%, up from 27%) are dissatisfied.  One in ten (11%, compared with 13% three months ago) do not offer a definite opinion at this time.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly, an independent, quarterly survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 1621 adult Nova Scotians, conducted from November 9 to December 7, 2006, with results accurate to within +2.4 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.  Please note, in an effort to efficiently present party results, this quarter a slightly different way of examining decided voter intentions has been introduced. In the past, residents who expressed a preference for a specific party, as well as those who preferred no party or did not plan to vote, were included in the decided voter base. From now on, only those residents who identify a specific party will be included in the decided voter base.  Past results included in this press release have been re-calculated to reflect this minor tabulation change.

For more information, please contact: Don Mills, President and CEO at (902) 722-3100.

Amanda Bates