07 Jun 2017

Support for NS Liberals stabilized after declining three months ago

  • NS Liberals continued to be the preferred party, as voter support stabilized after declining three months ago
  • Satisfaction with the performance of the provincial government was stable after two consecutive quarters of decline
  • Premier McNeil remained the preferred party leader, as support stabilized after declining for two consecutive quarters

HALIFAX, NS June 7, 2017: Corporate Research Associates continued to conduct its regular tracking of trends across the province during the recent Nova Scotia election campaign. Consequently, today’s results reflect the May 3 to 25 polling period and are slightly different than the daily tracking polls leading up to the election, undertaken on behalf of The Chronicle Herald.

Support for the Nova Scotia Liberal Party stabilized this quarter after declining three months ago, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Specifically, four in ten decided and leaning voters supported the Liberal Party (40%, compared with 44% in February 2017). Preference for the Progressive Conservative Party rested at 29 percent (compared with 28%), while three in ten also preferred the New Democratic Party (28%, compared with 23%), and two percent supported the Green Party (compared with 5%).

Excluding decided and leaning voters, the number of Nova Scotians who were undecided in the survey period stood at 17 percent (down from 27%), while five percent refused to state a preference (compared with 3%), and six percent either supported none of these parties or did not plan to vote (compared with 4%).

After two consecutive quarters of decline, government satisfaction stabilized, as just over four in ten Nova Scotians were satisfied with the performance of Stephen McNeil’s Liberal government (44%, compared with 45% in February 2017). Meanwhile, one-half of Nova Scotians were dissatisfied (48%, compared with 49%), and nine percent (compared with 6%) did not offer a definite opinion.

In terms of leader preference, three in ten Nova Scotians supported Premier Stephen McNeil, representing stability after two consecutive quarters of decline (30%, compared with 31% in February 2017), while two in ten preferred Jamie Baillie of the PC Party (22%, compared with 24%). Support for Gary Burrill of the NDP stood at 19 percent (compared with 17%), while preference for Thomas Trappenberg of the Green Party rested at three percent (compared with 4%), and backing for Jonathan Dean of the Atlantica Party was at one percent (unchanged). Meanwhile, two in ten (20%, compared with 18%) did not offer a definite opinion, and five percent preferred none of these leaders (unchanged).

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent, quarterly telephone survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 1,205 adult Nova Scotians, conducted from May 3 to 25, 2017 with overall results accurate to within ± 2.8 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

Corporate Research Associates (CRA), www.cra.ca, is one of Canada’s leading public opinion and market research companies. Founded in 1978, CRA is dedicated to providing clients with state-of-the-art research and strategic consulting services. CRA is a Certified Gold Seal Member of the Marketing Research and Intelligence Association (MRIA), which sets stringent standards as a condition of membership, and enforces those standards through independent audits. Follow us on Twitter @CRAInsight.

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 For more information, please contact:

Don Mills, Chairman and CEO, at (902) 493-3838

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