04 Sep 2008

Support for Nova Scotia Tories Bounces Back

HALIFAX:  Support for the ruling provincial PC Party has rebounded in the past three months, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc.  The race has tightened among the PC, NDP and Liberal parties, as support for the Progressive Conservatives has increased to 33 percent (compared with 27% in May 2008), and now rests at levels similar to February 2008. The provincial NDP stands at 36 percent (compared with 38%), while support for the Liberals stands at February 2008 levels (28%, compared with 30% three months ago). Three percent (compared with 4%) prefer the Green Party.  The number of Nova Scotia residents who are currently undecided, do not plan to vote, or refuse to state a preference increased this quarter and stands at 46 percent (compared with 41%).

Backing for the NDP is significantly higher in the HRM (45%), compared with the rest of Nova Scotia, while the Liberals receive greater support in Cape Breton (37%).  The Conservatives, meanwhile, receive their greatest level of support in mainland Nova Scotia outside of the HRM (41%).

PC leader Rodney MacDonald’s personal popularity has increased, with nearly three in ten Nova Scotians preferring MacDonald as premier (27%, compared with 22% in May 2008). NDP leader Darrell Dexter has the backing of three in ten residents (29%, compared with 30%), while support for the Liberal Party leader Stephen McNeil decreased and now stands at 17 percent (down from 23%). Support for the next leader of the Green Party is stable (4%, compared with 5%). Nearly two in ten Nova Scotians (17%, compared with 16%) are undecided in terms of leader preference, while the remainder prefer none of these leaders (6%, compared with 4%).

Satisfaction with the overall performance of the PC government increased slightly this quarter. Presently, one-half (49%, up from 46% in May 2008) of residents express satisfaction with the government, while under four in ten (37%, down from 45%) are dissatisfied.  Over one in ten (14%, up from 9%) do not offer a definite opinion at this time.

These results are part of the CRAAtlantic Quarterly®, an independent, quarterly survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 1207 adult Nova Scotians, conducted from August 7 to September 2, 2008, with results accurate to within +2.8 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

For more information, please contact: Don Mills, President and CEO at (902) 722-3100.

View tables here.

Amanda Bates