12 Dec 2018

Support for NL Liberals grows to highest level since 2016

  • Nearly half of decided voters would cast ballots for Liberal Party if an election were held today.
  • PC support holding steady at about one-third of decided voters.
  • Satisfaction with Dwight Ball’s Liberal government stable at 45%.

December 12, 2018: Support for the provincial Liberal Party continues to strengthen, with the governing Liberals now the preferred choice of 46% of decided voters in Newfoundland and Labrador – the highest level since February 2016 when support reached 66%, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Liberal support has been rising since May 2018, when it sat at 36% and climbed to 43% in August.

The Progressive Conservatives are holding steady, with 35% of decided voters saying they would back the PCs if an election were held today. That number is unchanged from August, but down from 42% in May. The New Democrats have 17% support (compared to 19% in August and 22% in May) and the Green Party has 1% (2% and 0%). Overall, one-quarter of voters (27%) are undecided, while 4% do not plan to vote and 3% refuse to state which party they support.

Satisfaction with the performance of the Liberal government is holding steady this quarter, with 45% of voters expressing satisfaction (compared to 43% in August and 38% in May), against 51% who are dissatisfied (compared to 53% and 56%).

In terms of leadership, Liberal Premier Dwight Ball is the preferred choice for premier among 32% of voters (compared to 31% in August and 27% in May), while PC leader Ches Crosbie is the choice of 30% (compared to 30% and 34%), and Gerry Rogers of the NDP is preferred by 17% (compared to 16% and 19%). Fourteen percent of voters don’t know who their preferred leader is, and 7% prefer none of the main party leaders.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent telephone survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 800 adult Newfoundland and Labrador residents. The survey was conducted from November 1 to 24, 2018, with overall results for the province accurate to within ± 3.5 percentage points in 95 out of 100 samples. 

Corporate Research Associates (CRA), www.cra.ca, is one of Canada’s leading public opinion and market research companies. Founded in 1978, CRA is dedicated to providing clients with state-of-the-art research and strategic consulting services. Follow us on Twitter @CRAInsight.

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For more information, please contact: 

Don Mills, CRA Chairman and CEO at (902) 493-3838, dmills@cra.ca

Margaret Brigley, CRA President and COO at (902) 493-3830, mbrigley@cra.ca


Amanda Bates