05 Jun 2007

Support For New Brunswick Provincial Liberals Softens

SAINT JOHN: Support for the ruling Liberals has again softened in the past three months, although the Liberals continue to lead the opposition Conservatives by a wide margin, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Presently, just over one-half (53%, down from 59% in February 2007) of decided voters back the Liberals, with one-third (33%, up from 27%) supporting the PCs.  Support for the NDP remains stable at 10 percent (compared with 11%), while 4 percent (up from 2%) of decided voters prefer the Green Party.  The number of New Brunswick residents who are currently undecided, do not plan to vote, or refuse to state a preference remains stable and currently stands at 42 percent.

Liberal leader Shawn Graham’s personal popularity also continues to decline.  Presently, less than four in ten (36%, down from 40% in February 2007) residents prefer Graham for Premier.  Backing for the next leader of the Progressive Conservatives has increased and currently stands at 20 percent (up from 14% three months ago), while backing for the next leader of the NDP remains stable at 8 percent (compared with 9%).  Four percent (compared with 3%) of New Brunswickers like none of these leaders or prefer others.  Not surprisingly, given the uncertainty surrounding the leadership of both the PCs and NDP, the number of residents who do not offer a definite opinion remains high at 30 percent (compared with 33%).

Satisfaction with the performance of the new Liberal government has declined in the past three months, although more than one-half (54%, down from 64% in February 2007) of residents continue to offer a positive assessment. Conversely, dissatisfaction has increased compared with three months ago and currently stands at 33% (up from 20%).  The remaining 13 percent (compared with 16%) do not offer a definite opinion at this time.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 1,205 adult New Brunswickers, conducted from May 15 to June 3, 2007, with results accurate to within +2.8 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

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Amanda Bates