07 Mar 2007

Support For New Brunswick Provincial Liberals Remains High

SAINT JOHN: Support for the ruling Liberals has softened slightly in the past three months, although the Liberals continue to lead the opposition Conservatives by a wide margin, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Presently, six in ten (59%, down from 65% in November 2006) decided voters back the Liberals, with close to three in ten (27%, unchanged) supporting the PCs.  Support for the NDP has increased by 5 percentage points to 11 percent, while 2 percent (unchanged) of decided voters prefer the Green Party.  The number of New Brunswick residents who are currently undecided, do not plan to vote, or refuse to state a preference is up 6 percentage points and stands at 41 percent.

Liberal leader Shawn Graham’s personal popularity has also declined in the past three months.  Presently, four in ten (40%, down from 48% in November 2006) residents prefer Graham for Premier.  The next leader of the Progressive Conservatives has the backing of 14 percent of residents (down from 23% who preferred Bernard Lord three months ago), while backing for the next leader of the NDP stands at 9 percent (up from 5%).  Three percent (down from 6% three months ago) of New Brunswickers like none of these leaders or prefer others.  Not surprisingly, given the uncertainty surrounding the leadership of both the PCs and NDP, the number of residents who do not offer a definite opinion has increased significantly, and stands at 33 percent (up from 18% in November 2006).

Satisfaction with the performance of the new Liberal government is unchanged, with more than six in ten (64%, unchanged from November 2006) residents offering a positive assessment. Compared with three months ago, residents are somewhat more likely to express dissatisfaction (20%, up from 13%).  The remaining 16 percent (down from 24%) do not offer a definite opinion at this time.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly, an independent survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 802 adult New Brunswickers, conducted from February 12 to March 1, 2007, with results accurate to within +3.5 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

View tables here.

For more information, please contact: Don Mills, President and CEO at (902) 722-3100.


Amanda Bates