05 Dec 2009

Support for New Brunswick Provincial Liberals Declines

SAINT JOHN: Support for the ruling Liberals has declined over the course of 2008, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Presently, under one-half (45%, compared with 49% in August 2008 and 63% in February 2008) of decided voters back the Liberals, with nearly four in ten (38%, compared with 34%) supporting the PCs.  Support for the NDP stabilized this quarter (13% compared with 14%), while four percent (unchanged) of decided voters prefer the Green Party.  The number of New Brunswick residents who are undecided, do not plan to vote, or refuse to state a preference currently stands at 38 percent (compared with 48% in August 2008).

Liberal leader Shawn Graham’s personal popularity improved this quarter. Presently, just over four in ten (42%, compared with 37% in August 2008) residents prefer Graham for Premier.  Backing for the Progressive Conservatives improved following the selection of David Alward as leader in October 2008, and currently stands at 25 percent (up from 18%), while backing for Roger Duguay of the NDP is stable at 8 percent (compared with 10%).  The next leader of the Green Party is preferred by four percent (compared with 3%). Five percent (down two percentage points) of New Brunswickers like none of these leaders or prefer others.  The number of residents who do not offer a definite opinion decreased and currently stands at 16 percent (compared with 25%).

Satisfaction with the performance of the Liberal government rebounded, and now stands at 60 percent (compared with 53% in August 2008). Consequently, dissatisfaction decreased (32%, compared with 37% three months ago).  The remaining eight percent (compared with 10%) do not offer a definite opinion at this time.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 801 adult New Brunswickers, conducted from November 13 to December 2, 2008, with results accurate to within +3.5 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

For more information, please contact: Don Mills, President and CEO at (902) 722-3100.

View tables here.

Amanda Bates