04 Jun 2008

Support for New Brunswick Provincial Liberals Declines Sharply

SAINT JOHN: Support for the ruling Liberals has decreased in the past three months, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. These latest results continue an up-and-down trend that has been evident over the past year. Presently, just over one-half (51%, down from 63% in February 2008) of decided voters back the Liberals, with over one-third (36%, up from 26%) supporting the PCs.  Support for the NDP also increased (11% compared with 8%), while two percent (unchanged) of decided voters prefer the Green Party.  The number of New Brunswick residents who are currently undecided, do not plan to vote, or refuse to state a preference currently stands at 44 percent.

Liberal leader Shawn Graham’s popularity has reverted this quarter to its November 2007 level. Presently, just under four in ten (38%, down from 47% in February 2008) of residents prefer Graham for Premier.  Backing for the next leader of the Progressive Conservatives stands at 23 percent (up from 15%), while backing for Roger Duguay of the NDP increased slightly to seven percent (compared with 5%).  The next leader of the Green party is preferred by four percent (down from 5%). Six percent (up one percentage point) of New Brunswickers like none of these leaders or prefer others.  The number of residents who do not offer a definite opinion is unchanged at 22 percent.

Satisfaction with the performance of the Liberal government has also decreased and now stands at levels similar to one year ago (59%, down from 68% in February 2008). Consequently, dissatisfaction increased, and currently stands at 34% (up from 24%).  The remaining seven percent (compared with 8%) do not offer a definite opinion at this time.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 806 adult New Brunswickers, conducted from May 9 to May 31, 2008, with results accurate to within +3.5 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

For more information, please contact: Don Mills, President and CEO at (902) 722-3100.

View tables here.

Amanda Bates