12 Dec 2006

Support For NB Provincial Liberals Surges

SAINT JOHN: The ruling Liberals lead the opposition Conservatives by a wide margin, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Presently, nearly two-thirds (65%, up from 40% in August 2006) of decided voters back the Liberals, with close to three in ten (27%, down from 47%) supporting the PCs.  Support for the NDP is down 5 points to 6 percent, while 2 percent of decided voters prefer the Green Party.  The number of New Brunswick residents who are currently undecided, do not plan to vote, or refuse to state a preference is down 6 percentage points and stands at 35 percent.

More than six in ten (64%) residents offer a positive assessment of the performance of the recently elected Liberal government. Just over one in ten (13%) express dissatisfaction, with the remaining one-quarter (24%) not offering a definite opinion at this time.

Liberal leader Shawn Graham’s personal popularity has increased significantly following his election as Premier.  Presently, approximately one-half (48%, up from 27% in August 2006) of residents prefer Graham for Premier, while PC leader Bernard Lord has the backing of one-quarter (23%, down from 37%) of residents.  Backing for the next leader of the NDP has declined by 4 percentage points to 5 percent.  Six percent (compared with 7% in August) of New Brunswickers like none of these leaders or prefer others, and 18 percent (compared with 20% three months ago) are undecided at this time.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly, an independent survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 808 adult New Brunswickers, conducted from November 10 to December 7, 2006, with results accurate to within +3.4 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.  Please note, in an effort to efficiently present party results, this quarter a slightly different way of examining decided voter intentions has been introduced. In the past, residents who expressed a preference for a specific party, as well as those who preferred no party or did not plan to vote, were included in the decided voter base. From now on, only those residents who identify a specific party will be included in the decided voter base.  Past results included in this press release have been re-calculated to reflect this minor tabulation change.

For more information, please contact: Don Mills, President and CEO at (902) 722-3100.


CRA