07 Jun 2006

PCs and Liberals Neck-in-Neck in Voter Support

HALIFAX: Voter support for the Progressive Conservative government led by Premier Pat Binns has declined in the past three months, and the PCs and Liberals are in a virtual tie in terms of voter support, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Presently, the Liberals are preferred by more than four in ten (44%, compared with 40% in February 2006) decided Island voters, while approximately four in ten (42%, down from 50%) of decided voters back the PCs.  Eight percent of Islanders (up from 4%) prefer the NDP, while 6 percent support none of these parties, do not plan to vote, or favour others (compared with 5% three months ago).  The number of residents who are undecided or refuse to state a preference currently stands at 31 percent (compared with 26% in February 2006).

Satisfaction with the performance of the Progressive Conservative government has also declined.  Presently, approximately six in ten (62%, down from 69% three months ago) Island residents are satisfied with the overall performance of the provincial government.  Three in ten (31%, compared with 29%) are mostly or completely dissatisfied with the government’s performance.  The number of residents with no definite opinion on this matter is up 5 percentage points and presently stands at 8 percent.

The personal popularity of the leaders of the Liberal and PC parties has not changed appreciably in the past three months.  Presently, PC leader Pat Binns garners the support of four in ten (40%, compared with 44% in February) Island residents, while Liberal leader Robert Ghiz is preferred by approximately one-third (32%, compared with 31%) of Islanders.  Five percent (compared with 4%) of residents favour the new leader of the provincial NDP, Dean Constable.  Six percent (up from 3%) prefer none of these leaders or select others, while close to two in ten (17%, compared with 19%) are undecided at this time.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly, an independent survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 601 Prince Edward Islanders, conducted from May 12 to June 5, 2006, with results accurate to within ±4.0 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

For more information, please contact: Don Mills, President and CEO at (902) 722-3100.

CRA Atlantic Quarterly – Spring 2006

Prince Edward Island Political ResultsSample:  601 Prince Edward Islanders (18 years plus)
Interview Dates: May 12 to June 5, 2006
Margin of Sampling Error:  ±4.0 percentage points (95% confidence level)

How satisfied are you with the overall performance of the provincial government led by Premier Pat Binns?

May 2005August 2005November 2005February 2006May 2006
Completely satisfied3%5%7%11%8%
Mostly satisfied46%46%47%58%54%
Mostly dissatisfied26%24%26%21%22%
Completely dissatisfied18%19%14%8%9%
Don’t know/No answer/Neither7%6%6%3%8%

If an election were held today on Prince Edward Island, for which party would you vote?

PartyMay 2005August 2005November 2005February 2006May 2006
Progressive Conservative Party38%39%40%50%42%
Liberal Party43%43%43%40%44%
Island New Democracts9%9%9%4%8%
None/Do not plan to vote/Other10%10%8%5%6%
TOTAL DECIDED VOTE100% 101% 100% 99%100%
Undecided/No answer31%33%35%26%31%

Which one of the following individuals would you most prefer as Premier of Prince Edward Island?

LeaderMay 2005August 2005November 2005February 2006May 2006
Pat Binns39%38%39%44%40%
Robert Ghiz27%37%32%31%32%
Gary Robichaud/Next leader/Dean Constable12%6%5%4%5%
None/Other7%4%6%3%6%
Don’t know/No answer14%14%18%19%17%

CRA