19 May 2009

Nova Scotia NDP On Course To Form Government

HALIFAX:  With support for the PC Party in decline and support for the NDP at its current level, a change in government is highly likely, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Currently, just under four in ten decided and leaning voters prefer the NDP (37%), while support for the PC Party lags (28%). Support for the Liberal Party rests at 31 percent, while three percent prefer the Green Party.  The number of Nova Scotia residents who are currently undecided (17%), do not plan to vote (7%), or refuse to state a preference (6%) stands at 30 percent.

Backing for the NDP is notably higher in HRM (44%) compared with the rest of Nova Scotia, while the Liberals receive greater support in Cape Breton (39%).  The Conservatives, meanwhile, receive their greatest level of support in mainland Nova Scotia outside of the HRM (35%).

Of particular note, satisfaction with the overall performance of the PC government decreased significantly in the past three months.  Presently, more than four in ten (45%, down from 54% in February 2009) residents express satisfaction with the government, while nearly one-half (48%, up 10 percentage points) are dissatisfied.  Under one in ten (7%, unchanged) do not offer a definite opinion at this time.

Personal popularity for Rodney MacDonald also decreased this quarter (20%, down from 27% three months ago). Support for Darrell Dexter of the NDP (30%), and Liberal leader Stephen McNeil (24%), have each increased by two percentage points. Support for Ryan Watson of the Green Party is unchanged at 3 percent. Two in ten Nova Scotians (19%, up from 14%) are undecided in terms of leader preference, while the remainder prefer none of these leaders (3%, down from 6%).

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent, quarterly survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 627 adult Nova Scotians, conducted from May 7 to May 16, 2009, with results accurate to within +3.9 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

For more information, please contact: Don Mills, President and CEO at (902) 722-3100.

View tables here.

Amanda Bates