10 Mar 2009

Nova Scotia NDP In Position To Win Possible Spring Election

HALIFAX:  Satisfaction with the overall performance of the PC government decreased somewhat in the past three months, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Presently, over one-half (54%, down from 59% in November 2008) of residents express satisfaction with the government, while four in ten (38%, up from 32%) are dissatisfied.  Under one in ten (7%, compared with 9%) do not offer a definite opinion at this time.

Support for the Liberal Party is increasing at the expense of the PC party. Currently, three in ten residents prefer the Liberal Party (31%, up from 27% three months ago), while support for the PC party decreased (30%, down from 33%). Support for the NDP is stable, and rests at 36 percent (compared with 37%), while three percent (unchanged) prefer the Green Party.  The number of Nova Scotia residents who are currently undecided, do not plan to vote, or refuse to state a preference is stable at 37 percent (unchanged).

Backing for the NDP is significantly higher in HRM (40%), compared with the rest of Nova Scotia, while the Liberals receive greater support in Cape Breton (36%).  The Conservatives, meanwhile, receive their greatest level of support in mainland Nova Scotia outside of the HRM (37%).

Personal popularity of all three party leaders is stable this quarter. Support for Darrell Dexter of the NDP is stable (28%, compared with 30% in November 2008), as is support for Rodney MacDonald of the PC Party (27%, unchanged). Liberal leader Stephen McNeil’s personal popularity is also stable and rests at 22% (compared with 21% three months ago). Support for the Green Party is stable following the selection of Ryan Watson as party leader (3%, compared with 6%). Over one in ten Nova Scotians (14%, compared with 13%) are undecided in terms of leader preference, while the remainder prefer none of these leaders (6%, compared with 5%).

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent, quarterly survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 803 adult Nova Scotians, conducted from February 9 to February 28, 2009, with results accurate to within +3.5 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

For more information, please contact: Don Mills, President and CEO at (902) 722-3100.

View tables here.

Amanda Bates