31 Aug 2006

New Brunswick PCs in Lead after First Two Weeks of Campaign

SAINT JOHN: The ruling PCs lead the opposition Liberals in voter support at the beginning of the 2006 provincial election campaign, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Presently, more than four in ten (45%, unchanged from May 2006) New Brunswickers back the Progressive Conservatives, while approximately four in ten (38%, stable compared with 39% three months ago) support the Liberals.  Support for the NDP is also stable at 10 percent (compared with 9% in May).  Eight percent (unchanged) of those surveyed support none of these parties, do not plan to vote, or favour others, while the number of New Brunswick residents who are currently undecided or refuse to state a preference is up 5 percentage points to 37 percent.

Satisfaction with the performance of the Progressive Conservative government led by Premier Bernard Lord has not changed appreciably in the past three months.  Presently, close to six in ten residents (57%, compared with 58% three months ago) are satisfied with the government’s performance.  More than one-third of New Brunswickers (35%, unchanged) meanwhile, are dissatisfied.  Seven percent (unchanged) have no definite opinion on this matter.

PC leader Bernard Lord’s personal popularity among New Brunswick residents is also stable compared with May 2006 results.  Presently, close to four in ten (37%, compared with 40% in May) residents name Lord as their choice for Premier, while close to three in ten (27%, compared with 29%) prefer Liberal leader Shawn Graham.  Backing for NDP leader Allison Brewer has increased by 3 percentage points to 9 percent.  Seven percent (compared with 5% in May) of New Brunswickers like none of these leaders or prefer others, and 20 percent (compared with 19% three months ago) are undecided at this time.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly, an independent survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 501 adult New Brunswickers, conducted from August 17 to August 30, 2006, with results accurate to within ±4.4 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

For more information, please contact: Don Mills, President and CEO at (902) 722-3100.

Amanda Bates