03 Sep 2009

New Brunswick NDP Gains Support, Although Liberals Continue To Lead

SAINT JOHN: In the wake of the historic NDP election victory in Nova Scotia, support for the New Brunswick NDP increased this quarter at the expense of the PCs, while the Liberals continue to lead according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Presently, four in ten (41%, unchanged from May 2009) decided voters back the Liberals, while over one-third back the PCs (35%, down from 40%).  Support for the NDP increased for the second consecutive quarter (22%, up from 16%), while three percent (unchanged) of decided voters prefer the Green Party.  The number of New Brunswick residents who are undecided, do not plan to vote, or refuse to state a preference currently stands at 43 percent (as compared to 42% in May 2009).

Satisfaction with the performance of the Liberal government is stable this quarter, and stands at 53 percent (compared with 50% in May 2009). Dissatisfaction decreased slightly (37%, down from 41% three months ago).  The remaining 11 percent (compared with 9%) do not offer a definite opinion at this time.

PC leader David Alward’s personal popularity continues to fluctuate. Presently, two in ten (21%, down from 28% three months ago) residents prefer Alward for Premier. Liberal leader Shawn Graham’s personal popularity also declined this quarter (35%, down from 39%), while backing for Roger Duguay of the NDP increased (12%, up from 6%).  The next leader of the Green Party is preferred by four percent (unchanged). Five percent (compared with 8%) of New Brunswickers like none of these leaders or prefer others.  The number of residents who do not offer a definite opinion increased and currently stands at 22 percent (compared with 16%).

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 806 adult New Brunswickers, conducted from August 12 to August 29, 2009, with results accurate to within +3.4 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

For more information, please contact: Don Mills, President and CEO at (902) 722-3100.

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Amanda Bates