26 Aug 2010

New Brunswick Liberals Enter Election With Narrow Lead

SAINT JOHN: The provincial Liberals are slightly ahead of the PCs, with a large percentage of undecided voters still evident, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Four in ten decided and leaning voters back the Liberals (41%, up from 37% in May 2010), while support for the PC Party stands at 36% (down from 42%). Support for the NDP (16%, unchanged) and the Green Party (6%, compared with 5%) remains stable. The new party in the province, the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick, is preferred by one percent of decided and leaning voters. Of the remainder, two in ten are undecided (23%), while one in ten do not plan to vote (9%), or refuse to state a preference (8%).

Satisfaction with the provincial government is relatively stable this quarter. Presently, just over four in ten New Brunswick residents (44%, compared with 41% in May 2010) are completely or mostly satisfied with the government, while one-half (49%, compared with 51%) are dissatisfied. Eight percent (compared with 9%) do not offer a definite opinion at this time.

Shawn Graham is preferred for Premier by three in ten New Brunswick residents (29%, compared with 28% three months ago), while two in ten prefer David Alward (22%, down from 27%). Backing for Roger Duguay of the NDP stands at eight percent (compared with 10%), while five percent prefer Jack MacDougall of the Green Party (compared with 7%). Three percent prefer Kris Austin of the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick, while six percent (compared with 9%) of New Brunswickers like none of these leaders or prefer others. The number of residents who do not offer a definite opinion increased this quarter and currently stands at 28 percent (up from 19% three months ago).

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 806 adult New Brunswickers, conducted from August 4 to August 24, 2010, with overall results accurate to within +3.4 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

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Don Mills, President and CEO at (902) 493-3820.

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Amanda Bates