27 Aug 2018

NB provincial voting intentions vary by urban communities

  • The Liberals are the most preferred political party in Moncton
  • The PCs are the most supported political party in Saint John
  • Preference for the Liberal Party and the PC Party is similar in Fredericton

HALIFAX, NS August 27, 2018: Leading up to the September 24th New Brunswick provincial election, voting intentions vary among the province’s largest urban communities – Moncton, Saint John, and Fredericton, according to the most recent Urban Report survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. (CRA). In Moncton, the Liberals are the most preferred political party, while in Saint John, the PCs are the most supported political party. Preference for the Liberals and PCs is relatively even in Fredericton. As previously reported by CRA on August 23rd, the Liberals are the most preferred party across the province.

In Moncton, one-half (50%) of decided voters support the Liberals, and three in ten back the PC Party (31%). Meanwhile, one in ten prefer either the Green Party (8%) or the NDP (8%), and one percent support the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick.

In Saint John, voting intentions are opposite that of Moncton and New Brunswick overall, as one-half (49%) of decided voters support the PC Party, and three in ten back the Liberals (31%). Meanwhile, one in ten prefer the NDP (10%), five percent support the Green Party, and four percent back the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick.

In Fredericton, neither party has a clear lead, as one-third (32%) of decided voters support the PC Party, and three in ten back the Liberals (30%). Meanwhile, two in ten prefer the Green Party (22%), one in ten support the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick (11%), and five percent back the NDP (5%).

The number of residents who are undecided is at 37 percent in Moncton and in Saint John, and 30 percent in Fredericton. Meanwhile, six percent in Moncton, eight percent in Saint John, and ten percent in Fredericton refuse to state a preference. Five percent in Moncton, four percent in Saint John, and three percent in Fredericton either support none of the parties or do not plan to vote.

These results are part of the CRA Urban Report, an independent telephone survey of adult residents and consists of 400 Saint John CMA, 300 Moncton CMA, and 400 Fredericton CA residents, conducted from July 19 to August 8, 2018. Decided voting intentions consist of 210 Saint John CMA, 155 Moncton CMA, and 229 Fredericton CA residents with overall results for each accurate to within ±6.8 percentage points for Saint John, ±6.5 percentage points for Fredericton, and ±7.9 percentage points for Moncton, 95 out of 100 times.

Corporate Research Associates (CRA), www.cra.ca, is one of Canada’s leading public opinion and market research companies. Founded in 1978, CRA is dedicated to providing clients with state-of-the-art research and strategic consulting services. Follow us on Twitter @CRAInsight.

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For more information, please contact:

Don Mills, Chairman and CEO, at (902) 493-3838

View Press Release Here


CRA