06 Mar 2014

NB Liberals Maintain Lead Although Gap is Narrowing

HALIFAX: The NB Liberal Party has maintained its lead over other parties in the province although the gap is narrowing, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Over four in ten New Brunswick decided voters support the Liberal Party (43%, compared with 47% in November 2013). Meanwhile, three in ten back the governing PC Party (31%, compared with 25% three months ago), and two in ten support the NDP (21%, compared with 24%). Green Party support is stable (4%, unchanged), while less than one percent of decided voters back the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick (unchanged). The number of residents who are undecided rests at 31 percent (compared with 32%), while five percent refuse to state a preference (compared with 6%), and seven percent support none of the parties or do not plan to vote (compared with 4%).

Presently, one-third of New Brunswick residents are either completely or mostly satisfied with the provincial government (33%, compared with 39% in November 2013), while more than one-half (56%, compared with 55%) are dissatisfied. Meanwhile, ten percent do not offer an opinion (compared with 6%).

David Alward’s personal popularity is up marginally this quarter, with two in ten New Brunswick residents preferring Alward for Premier (22%, compared with 18%). Brian Gallant of the Liberal Party is preferred by three in ten (31%, unchanged) and support for Dominic Cardy of the NDP stands at 15 percent (unchanged). Four percent (compared with 6%) prefer David Coon of the Green Party, while one percent (compared with 3%) prefer Kris Austin of the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick. Eight percent of New Brunswick residents prefer none of these leaders or support others (compared with 7%), while two in ten (19%, compared with 20%) do not offer a definite opinion.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent telephone survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 401 adult New Brunswickers, conducted from February 12 to February 28, 2014, with overall results accurate to within ±4.9 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

For more information, please contact:
Don Mills, Chairman and CEO at (902) 493-3838
Margaret Brigley, President and COO at (902) 493-3830

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CRA Corporate Research Associates