23 Aug 2018

Liberals enjoy sizeable lead at the start of NB election

  • One-half of decided and leaning voters support the New Brunswick Liberal Party, maintaining its position as the preferred party in the province
  • Consistent with last quarter, one-half of residents express satisfaction with the performance of the New Brunswick government
  • Premier Brian Gallant continues to be the preferred party leader in the province

HALIFAX, NS August 23, 2018: Prior to the September 24th provincial election, the New Brunswick Liberal Party continues to hold a comfortable lead over other provincial parties in terms of voter support, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc.

Specifically, one-half of New Brunswick decided and leaning voters support the Liberals (50%, compared with 45% of decided voters in May 2018). Meanwhile, three in ten decided and leaning voters back the PC Party (30%, compared with 31%), and seven percent support the New Democratic Party (down from 13%). Green Party support is stable this quarter (7%, unchanged), while six percent of decided and leaning voters back the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick (compared with 4%).

The number of residents who are undecided rests at 14 percent (compared with 31% three months ago when leaning voters were not included), while six percent refuse to state a preference (unchanged), and five percent either support none of the parties or do not plan to vote (compared with 4%).

In terms of government performance, satisfaction is stable, as one-half of New Brunswickers are satisfied with the performance of the provincial government (50%, unchanged from three months ago), while four in ten are dissatisfied (42%, compared with 39%), and seven percent do not offer an opinion on the matter (compared with 10%).

With regards to leader preference, support for Premier Brian Gallant is at 35 percent (compared with 32% in May 2018), while preference for PC leader Blaine Higgs stands at 23 percent (compared with 20%), and support for Green Party leader David Coon rests at 8 percent (compared with 11%). Meanwhile, Kris Austin of the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick is preferred by six percent (compared with 4%), and NDP leader Jennifer McKenzie is backed by five percent (down from 9%). Finally, five percent of New Brunswick residents prefer none of these leaders (unchanged), while 17 percent (compared with 19%) do not offer a definite opinion.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly®, an independent telephone survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 600 adult New Brunswickers, conducted from August 1 to 19, 2018, with overall results accurate to within ± 4.0 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

Corporate Research Associates (CRA), www.cra.ca, is one of Canada’s leading public opinion and market research companies. Founded in 1978, CRA is dedicated to providing clients with state-of-the-art research and strategic consulting services. Follow us on Twitter @CRAInsight.


For more information, please contact:

Don Mills, Chairman and CEO, at (902) 493-3838

Margaret Brigley, CRA President and COO at (902) 493-3830

View Press Release Here

Ce communiqué de presse est également offert en français.

Amanda Bates