07 Mar 2006

Increased Voter Support for Binns Government

HALIFAX: Voter support for the Progressive Conservative government led by Premier Pat Binns has improved in the past three months, according to the most recent survey conducted by Corporate Research Associates Inc. Presently, one-half (50%, up from 40% in November 2005) of decided voters back the PCs, while four in ten (40%, compared with 43%) support the Liberals.  Four percent of Island residents (down from 9%) prefer the NDP, while 5 percent support none of these parties, do not plan to vote, or favour others (down from 8% three months ago).  The number of residents who are undecided or refuse to state a preference currently stands at 26 percent (down from 35% in November 2005).

Satisfaction with the performance of the Progressive Conservative government has also improved.  Presently, seven in ten (69%, up from 54% three months ago) Island residents are satisfied with the overall performance of the provincial government.  Three in ten (29%, down from 40%) are mostly or completely dissatisfied with the government’s performance.  The number of residents with no definite opinion on this matter is down 3 percentage points and presently stands at 3 percent.

The personal popularity of the leaders of the Liberal and PC parties has not changed appreciably in the past three months.  Presently, PC leader Pat Binns garners the support of more than four in ten (44%, compared with 39% in November 2005) Island residents, while Liberal leader Robert Ghiz is preferred by three in ten (31%, compared with 32%) Islanders.  Four percent (compared with 5%) of residents choose the next leader of the provincial NDP.  Three percent (down from 6%) prefer none of these leaders or select others.  The remaining two in ten (19%, compared with 18%) are undecided at this time.

These results are part of the CRA Atlantic Quarterly, an independent, quarterly survey of Atlantic Canadians, and are based on a sample of 302 Prince Edward Islanders, conducted from February 15 to March 2, 2006, with results accurate to within ±5.6 percentage points, 95 out of 100 times.

For more information, please contact: Don Mills, President and CEO at (902) 421-1336.

CRA Atlantic Quarterly – Winter 2006

Prince Edward Island Political Results

Sample:  302 Prince Edward Islanders (18 years plus)
Interview Dates: February 15 to March 2, 2006
Margin of Sampling Error:  ±5.6 percentage points (95% confidence level)

How satisfied are you with the overall performance of the provincial government led by Premier Pat Binns?

February 2005May 2005August 2005November 2005February 2006
Completely satisfied5%3%5%7%11%
Mostly satisfied52%46%46%47%58%
Mostly dissatisfied25%26%24%26%21%
Completely dissatisfied14%18%19%14%8%
Don’t know/No answer/Neither4%7%6%6%3%

If an election were held today on Prince Edward Island, for which party would you vote?

PartyFebruary 2005May 2005August 2005November 2005February 2006
Progressive Conservative Party41%38%39%40%50%
Liberal Party47%43%43%43%40%
Island New Democracts7%9%9%9%4%
None/Do not plan to vote/Other5%10%10%8%5%
TOTAL VOTES DECIDED100% 100% 101% 100% 99%
Undecided/No answer28%31%33%35%26%

Which one of the following individuals would you most prefer as Premier of Prince Edward Island?

LeaderFebruary 2005May 2005August 2005November 2005February 2006
Pat Binns41%39%38%39%44%
Robert Ghiz37%27%37%32%31%
Gary Robichaud/Next leader8%12%6%5%4%
None of above/Other4%7%4%6%3%
Don’t know/No answer11%14%14%18%19%

Amanda Bates